Sohn’s presidential hopes rising, says poll

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Sohn’s presidential hopes rising, says poll

Democratic Party Chairman Sohn Hak-kyu’s star is rising as a presidential contender, though Grand National Party former Chairwoman Park Geun-hye maintained her lead as the most likely next president, according to the latest opinion poll.

According to a nationwide phone survey of 1,000 adults conducted on Tuesday by Dongseo Research, 31.5 percent of respondents said Park was most appropriate person to be the next president. Sohn came in second with 11.8 percent, the first time Sohn’s support has surpassed 10 percent since the 2007 presidential election.

The poll had a confidence level of 95 percent and a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.

Seoul Mayor Oh Se-hoon was ranked third with 8.2 percent, while Rhyu Si-min, former health and welfare minister in the Roh Moo-hyun administration, was ranked fourth with 7.2 percent. Gyeonggi Governor Kim Moon-soo received 6.5 percent, while Roh’s former prime minister, Han Myeong-sook, garnered 5.4 percent.

Asked who should be the opposition candidate in the next presidential election, Sohn was backed by 33.3 percent, while Rhyu ranked second with 12.8 percent. Lee Hoi-chang, head of the conservative opposition Liberty Forward Party and former two-time GNP presidential candidate (losing to Kim Dae-jung and Roh), was backed by 11.2 percent.

Within the GNP, Park maintained her lead with 42.7 percent, while Oh came in a distant second with 13.2 percent.

The Democratic Party elected Sohn as chairman on Sunday and his approval rating was rising ahead of the election. In the poll, 71.6 percent said Sohn will do a good job as DP head.

Sohn, a 63-year-old former three-term lawmaker, served as Gyeonggi governor from 2002 to 2006 under the Grand National Party. He left the ruling party in 2007 after he dropped out of the presidential primary against President Lee Myung-bak and former GNP Chairwoman Park. Months later, he joined the Democratic Party and competed in a primary to become its presidential candidate, but lost to Chung Dong-young.

The next presidential election will be held in 2012, and no political heavyweight has announced a run yet. But Sohn has linked his DP leadership win with the presidential race.

“I will revive the spirit of Kim Dae-jung and the values of Roh Moo-hyun to win back six million votes lost [in the 2007 election],” Sohn said.

“By winning the DP chairmanship, Sohn clearly beat his rivals and rose as a strong presidential contender,” said Kim Mi-hyeon of Dongseo Research.


By Ser Myo-ja, Jung Hyo-sik [myoja@joongang.co.kr]
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2007년 후 첫 10% 돌파 박근혜 이어 2위 차지



컨벤션 효과(Convention Effect·전당대회로 인한 지지율 상승) 덕인가. 민주당이 3일 전당대회를 통해 당 지도부를 새로 선출한 이후 실시된 첫 여론조사에서 손학규 대표(11.8%)가 박근혜 전 한나라당 대표(31.5%)에 이어 지지율 2위를 차지했다. 여론조사기관 동서리서치가 5일 전국 성인남녀 1000명에게 전화 조사를 한 결과다. 손 대표가 2007년 대선 이후 지지율 10%를 넘긴 건 처음이다. ‘대선 후보로서 누가 가장 적합하냐’고 물은 결과 박 전 대표, 손 대표에 이어 오세훈 서울시장(8.2%), 유시민 국민참여당 정책연구원장(7.2%), 김문수 경기지사(6.5%), 한명숙 민주당 고문(5.4%) 순으로 지지율이 높았다.

야권의 차기 대선 예비주자만을 상대로 한 야권 후보 적합도에서도 손 대표는 33.3%로 1위를 차지했다. 김미현 소장은 "손 대표로선 ‘허니문’이 끝난 뒤 취약한 민주당 내 지지기반을 확대하느냐가 관건”이라고 분석했다. 손 대표는 6일 광주와 고 노무현 전 대통령의 고향인 김해 봉하마을을 잇따라 찾았다. 4일 고 김대중(DJ) 전 대통령의 묘역 방문과 DJ 부인 이희호 여사 예방에 이은 ‘김대중·노무현 정신 잇기’ 행보다.



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