DP’s public approval rating beats ruling GNP’s

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DP’s public approval rating beats ruling GNP’s

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After its stunning victory in the April 27 by-elections, the Democratic Party’s approval rating has jumped. As a result, all eyes are on the person selected to lead the largest opposition party, who will be a key player in next year’s presidential election.

A telephone survey of 3,000 people conducted by Realmeter last week showed the Democratic Party’s approval rating at 34.5 percent from 30.4 percent in the previous week, beating out the ruling Grand National Party for the first time since ex-President Roh Moo-hyun’s suicide in June 2009.

The GNP’s ratings dropped from 35.0 percent to 31.2 percent.

The three candidates for DP floor leader - Lew Seon-ho, Kang Bong-kyun and Kim Jin-pyo - expressed different views on the party’s future direction in phone interviews with the JoongAng Ilbo yesterday, including how strongly the DP should embrace minor liberal parties.

Among the three candidates, Lew is the only one supporting unification of all opposition parties.

“Making an electoral alliance among opposition parties will be good [for the presidential election], but my top priority is creating a single opposition party,” Lew said.

Candidate Kim didn’t agree with the idea.

“We must go on with unification with the People’s Participation Party, which has similar policies as ours, but I think it would be better to remain just neighbors with the Democratic Labor Party and the New Progressive Party,” Kim said.

Kang said: “The intention of making a single opposition party is good, but it’s not that easy. When it comes to the Democratic Labor Party, we have different political lines and polices.

“I think we should combine with some parties, but for other parties, we should just make an [electoral] alliance,” Kang added.

The three candidates also have different ideas of the Democratic Party’s identity.

“The DP is more progressive than the Grand National Party,” Kang said, “but we should attract the [country’s] 6 million moderate voters to the DP.”

According to Kim: “It’s absurd for the government to guarantee welfare to the people from cradle to grave. The DP should move toward rational progress and moderate reform.”

But Lew disagreed, saying, “The DP should not stay on the moderate line and push forward clear liberal reform.”

Some analysts said Lew, who is considered an underdog for the floor leader position, could pull out in front after Hwang Woo-yea, a GNP outsider who didn’t belong to his party’s main factions and was widely considered to be an underdog, was elected floor leader of the ruling party on Saturday.


By Kang Ki-heon, Kim Hee-jin [heejin@joongang.co.kr]

한글 관련 기사 [연합]
"민주당 지지도, 2년만에 한나라 추월"
리얼미터 조사
손학규 정체, 유시민 반등
민주당의 정당 지지도가 4.27 재보선 승리를 계기로 한나라당을 추월했다는 여론조사 결과가 나왔다.

여론조사기관인 리얼미터는 지난 2일부터 6일까지 나흘간 성인남녀 3천명을 대상으로 실시한 주간 정례조사 결과 민주당 지지율은 전주 대비 4.1%포인트 상승한 34.5%를 기록, 31.2%에 그친 한나라당에 3.3% 포인트차로 앞선 것으로 나타났다고 9일 밝혔다.

이 기관 조사에서 두 당의 지지도가 역전된 것은 노무현 전 대통령의 서거 다음달인 2009년 6월 이후 약 2년만이다.

민주당은 지난달 3주차 조사에서 27.8%-35.5%로 한나라당에 뒤졌으나 재보선이 실시된 4주차에 30.4%-35%로 간극을 크게 좁혔다.


이번 조사에서는 두 당에 이어 국민참여당 4.5%, 민주노동당 4.3%, 자유선진당 2.4%, 진보신당 1.3% 순으로 나타났다.

이명박 대통령의 국정수행 지지율은 4.27 재보선 이후 하락세가 계속되면서 전주 대비 4.1%포인트 하락한 27.3%를 기록했다.

이 대통령의 국정 지지도가 20%대로 떨어진 것은 역시 노 전 대통령 서거 이후 처음이라고 리얼미터 측은 밝혔다.

대선 후보 지지율에서는 한나라당 박근혜 전 대표가 31.3%로 1위를 유지했고, 이어 민주당 손학규 대표가 전주 대비 0.2% 포인트 떨어진 14.1%로 2위를 지켰다.

참여당 유시민 대표는 12.5%로 2.7% 포인트 반등하면서 손 대표를 오차범위 내로 다시 따라붙었다.

손 대표가 야권에서 '마(魔)의 벽'으로 불리는 15%를 돌파하지 못한 것은 한.EU FTA(자유무역협정) 비준을 둘러싼 당내 노선갈등 상황에서 결단력 등 리더십을 보여주지 못한 것과 무관치 않다는 분석이 나온다.

이번 조사는 휴대전화를 포함, 전화번보부 미등재 가구에 임의로 전화를 거는 RDD(Random Digit Dialing) 방식으로 이뤄졌으며 표본오차는 95% 신뢰수준에서 ± 1.8% 포인트다.

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