[Viewpoint] America’s threat to trans-Pacific tradeAs if undermining the World Trade Organization’s Doha Round of global free-trade talks was not bad enough (the last ministerial meeting in Geneva produced barely a squeak), the United States has compounded its folly by actively promoting the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). President Barack Obama announced this with nine Asian countries during his recent trip to the region.
The TPP is being sold in the U.S. to a compliant media and unsuspecting public as evidence of American leadership on trade. But the opposite is true, and it is important that those who care about the global trading system know what is happening. One hopes that this knowledge will trigger what I call the “Dracula effect”: expose that which would prefer to remain hidden to sunlight and it will shrivel up and die.
The TPP is a testament to the ability of U.S. industrial lobbies, Congress, and presidents to obfuscate public policy. It is widely understood today that free trade agreements, whether bilateral or plurilateral (among more than two countries but fewer than all) are built on discrimination. That is why economists typically call them preferential trade agreements (PTAs). And that is why the U.S. government’s public relations machine calls what is in fact a discriminatory plurilateral FTA, a “partnership” invoking a false aura of cooperation and cosmopolitanism.
Countries are, in principle, free to join the TPP. Japan and Canada have said they plan to do so. But a closer look reveals that China is not a part of this agenda. The TPP is also a political response to China’s new aggressiveness, built therefore in a spirit of confrontation and containment, not of cooperation.
The U.S. has been establishing a template for its PTAs that includes several items unrelated to trade. So it is no surprise that the TPP template includes numerous agendas unrelated to trade, such as labor standards and restraints on the use of capital-account controls, many of which preclude China’s accession.
From the outset, the TPP’s supposed openness has been wholly misleading. Towards this end, the TPP was negotiated with the weaker countries like Vietnam, Singapore and New Zealand, which were easily bamboozled into accepting such conditions. Only then were bigger countries like Japan offered membership on a “take it or leave it” basis.
The PR machine then went into overdrive by calling the inclusion of these extraneous conditions as making the TPP a “high-quality” trade agreement for the 21st century, when in fact it was a rip-off by several domestic lobbies.
American regionalism closer to home shows the U.S. now trying to promote the Free Trade Agreement of the Americas (FTAA). But its preferred template was to expand the North America Free Trade Agreement (Canada, Mexico and the U.S.) to the Andean countries and include huge doses of nontrade-related issues, which they swallowed. This was not acceptable to Brazil, the leading force behind the FTAA, which focuses exclusively on trade issues. Brazil’s former President Luiz Lula Inacio da Silva, one of the world’s great trade-union leaders, rejected the inclusion of labor standards in trade treaties and institutions.
The result of U.S. efforts in South America, therefore, has been to fragment the region into two blocs, and the same is likely to happen in Asia. Ever since the U.S. realized that it had chosen the wrong region to be regional with, it has been trying to win a seat at the Asian table. The U.S. finally got it with the TPP, simply because China had become aggressive in asserting its territorial claims in the South China Sea and vis-a-vis India and Japan.
Many Asian countries joined the TPP to “keep the U.S. in the region” in the face of Chinese heavy-handedness. They embraced the U.S. in the same way that East Europeans rushed to join NATO and the European Union in the face of the threat, real or imagined, posed by post-Soviet Russia.
America’s design for Asian trade is inspired by the goal of containing China, and the TPP template effectively excludes it, owing to the notrade-related conditions imposed by U.S. lobbies. The only way that a Chinese merger with the TPP could gain credibility would be to make all nontrade-related provisions optional. Of course, the U.S. lobbies would have none of it.
*Copyright: Project Syndicate, 2011.
The writer, professor at Columbia University and senior fellow in international economics at the Council on Foreign Relations, is the author of “Termites in the Trading System: How Preferential Agreements Undermine Free Trade.”
By Jagdish Bhagwati