New market hours fail to bolster trading
Average daily transactions between Aug. 1 and Dec. 27 on both the main bourse Kospi and secondary Kosdaq were 7.5 trillion won ($6.2 billion), compared to the 8.2 trillion won between January and July.
Looking at the Kospi alone, daily transactions fell to 4.3 trillion won between Aug. 1 and Dec. 27 from 4.7 trillion won between January and July.
Korea Exchange extended exchange hours 30 minutes, until 3:30 p.m. on Aug. 1, in a move aimed at boosting equity and other financial transactions.
The trading hour extension was the first major change in 16 years since KRX eliminated a one-hour lunch break. The market opens at 9 a.m.
The KRX hoped the extended hours would raise daily trading volume 3 to 8 percent or raise daily transactions by up to 680 billion won.
But, the second half saw a series of headwinds including the Galaxy Note7 debacle, Britain’s vote to leave the European Union and a domestic political scandal that claimed Park Geun-hye’s presidency.
The overall volume and transactions of the Kospi and Kosdaq shrank by 16 percent and 15 percent, respectively. The series of downbeat events also locked the Kospi below 2,100.
Analysts are divided as to whether the markets will recover next year.
“The earnings of the Kospi-listed companies have improved when compared to the past,” said Lee Chang-mok, head of NH Investment & Securities research center. “If investors’ sentiment turned more optimistic, the trading volume will increase.”
The key factor next year may involve U.S. president-elect Donald J. Trump’s economic policies.
“If the United States is focused on expanding the government spending and introducing measures that will lead to a weak dollar, instead of quickly raising interest rates, the won-based assets can be attractive and Kospi will rise,” said Jang In-beom, head of Boo Kook Securities’ research center.
But others are more skeptical.
“The country’s transactions are heavily dependent on large-cap shares. There is no major factor to change the trend,” said Greg Roh, an analyst at HMC Investment Securities.
BY PARK EUN-JEE, LEE SAENURI [firstname.lastname@example.org]