Korea weighs dual-build option for nuclear-propelled submarines, following Australia’s model

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Korea weighs dual-build option for nuclear-propelled submarines, following Australia’s model

Audio report: written by reporters, read by AI


 


Cha Se-hyeon
 
The author is an editorial writer at the JoongAng Ilbo. 
 
 
 
The United States under President Donald Trump has approved Korea’s plan to build nuclear-propelled submarines, a capability the Korean military has sought for more than three decades. In a joint fact sheet released on Nov. 14, the two governments announced that Washington would work closely with Seoul on the requirements for a nuclear submarine program, including the provision of naval reactor fuel. The decision clears the first major hurdle, but many challenges remain before Korea can operate a fleet.
 
From left, Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, U.S. President Joe Biden, and British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak attend the March 2023 summit where the three countries formally signed the AUKUS pact allowing Australia to acquire nuclear-powered submarines. [UPI/YONHAP]

From left, Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, U.S. President Joe Biden, and British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak attend the March 2023 summit where the three countries formally signed the AUKUS pact allowing Australia to acquire nuclear-powered submarines. [UPI/YONHAP]

 
The trilateral Aukus agreement between the United States, Britain and Australia, announced in 2023, offers a useful reference point as Korea debates how to move forward. The Australian case highlights the complexities of nuclear submarine production, industrial capacity, technology transfer and the political sensitivities surrounding naval nuclear propulsion.
 
Korea has publicly stated its preference for building its nuclear submarines at domestic shipyards to ensure speed and control. Trump, however, has suggested constructing them at the U.S. Navy’s Philadelphia Naval Shipyard, recently acquired by Hanwha Ocean. A core issue is the United States' limited production capacity. According to the Congressional Budget Office, the U.S. Navy can build only about 1.2 submarines per year, far below the 2.33 submarines needed annually to meet both U.S. fleet expansion goals and Aukus obligations.
 
These constraints have already placed Aukus under strain. Under Pillar I of the agreement, the United States is to deliver at least three Virginia-class submarines to Australia in the early 2030s. Yet in June, the Pentagon warned that reassessing the agreement could be necessary to ensure the U.S. industrial base can first meet American needs while still supporting allied security. During last month’s U.S.-Australia summit, Trump reaffirmed the original pledge, but the implementation timeline remains a point of debate within Washington.
 
Australia is moving ahead regardless of questions about when it will receive U.S. submarines. Canberra plans to develop a jointly designed nuclear submarine with Britain, using American reactor technology. Australia and Britain aim to complete their first domestically built submarines in the early 2040s and late 2030s, respectively. To support the project, Canberra announced in September that it would invest 12 billion Australian dollars, or about $7.77 billion, over the next decade to expand submarine construction and sustainment facilities in Henderson.
 

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Korea may face similar choices. The government is already committed to contributing $150 billion to the Make American Shipbuilding Great project, Washington’s initiative to revive the U.S. shipbuilding industry. Even with that investment, building submarines in Korea and importing reactor fuel from the United States would likely offer a faster route to fielding an operational fleet. At a recent briefing on the joint fact sheet, Wi Sung-lac, the director of national security, said Korea would build the submarines domestically and could also develop reactor components using Korean technology, adding that the United States would provide the fuel. Korea is expected to build at least four nuclear-propelled submarines of more than 5,000 tons beginning in the mid-2030s.
 
Legal arrangements will be central to securing U.S. reactor fuel. Australia’s experience provides a relevant precedent. Both Korea and Australia maintain civil nuclear cooperation agreements with the United States under Section 123 of the Atomic Energy Act of 1954, which governs peaceful nuclear cooperation and nonproliferation safeguards. To avoid lengthy renegotiations of their existing agreements, the United States and Australia relied instead on Section 91, which allows the transfer of naval nuclear propulsion technology with congressional approval when national security conditions are met.
 
The three Aukus countries subsequently signed the naval nuclear propulsion agreement in 2024, enabling the lawful transfer of naval reactor information and materials to Australia. Korea may eventually pursue a similar exemption-based arrangement. Wi also noted that applying the Section 91 approach used in Aukus could be an option.
 
Australia’s program includes another distinctive feature. Canberra will receive highly enriched uranium fuel sealed for the lifetime of each submarine, eliminating the need for refueling. This sharply restricts Australia’s access to the fuel itself, addressing concerns about the diversion of enriched uranium for weapons purposes. The International Atomic Energy Agency has indicated that the arrangement makes safeguards monitoring more manageable.
 
This photo, provided by Hanwha Ocean on Aug. 26, shows a Jangbogo-III Batch-2 submarine. [HANWHA OCEAN]

This photo, provided by Hanwha Ocean on Aug. 26, shows a Jangbogo-III Batch-2 submarine. [HANWHA OCEAN]

 
Aukus also benefited from Australia’s explicit framing of the program as part of a strategy to deter China. That clarity helped secure cooperation from both the U.S. administration and Congress, the latter of which remains sensitive to proliferation risks. China's foreign ministry rebuked the program as a grave proliferation threat that violated the spirit of the nuclear nonproliferation treaty, and the Global Times, an English-language newspaper based in China, published an editorial warning that nuclear submarines would bring “disaster” to Australia.
 
Korea faces a different geopolitical environment. Seoul cannot adopt Canberra’s overt anti-China posture without risking economic and diplomatic retaliation. However, such caution may complicate Korea’s long-term submarine plans. In a recent contribution to the JoongAng Ilbo, Michael Green of the University of Sydney argued that if Korea continues to avoid endorsing the “strategic flexibility” of U.S. Forces Korea, some in Congress and the U.S. Navy may question whether Korean nuclear submarines would meaningfully contribute to allied operations in a future crisis with China. A shift in political control of Congress after next year’s midterm elections could further alter the legislative mood.


This article was originally written in Korean and translated by a bilingual reporter with the help of generative AI tools. It was then edited by a native English-speaking editor. All AI-assisted translations are reviewed and refined by our newsroom.
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