Restructuring is never easy
The first guideline is plainly unrealistic. No one can identify signs of troubles at all companies in our economy or prevent them from spilling over onto other companies or sectors. Companies by nature hide their woes until they are near bankruptcy.
The second guideline is even less clear. A corporate entity is evaluated in numbers: the numbers on its balance sheet and profit and loss statement. The health of a company must be examined like that of a human body. Blood sugar levels and blood pressure are examined and treated with drugs when they are deemed too high. Without concrete numbers to measure industrial competitiveness, any decision on a company’s viability could be swayed by political influence and fall prey to favoritism or other form of corruption.
The third guideline sounds even more nonsensical. Restructuring cannot be done without funds to clean up a mess. Shareholders, creditors and employees would not easily agree to pain-sharing. Someone has to take the lead. That role usually falls to state-run banks. But a state-run lender must not take too much of the debt load. Leaving the cleaning up to the market sounds good in theory, but not in practice. That is more or less saying that commercial banks should do the unpopular and complicated work and force vibrant companies take on ailing enterprises on behalf of the state.
Moreover, the tough job of spearheading restructuring was assigned to Paik Un-gyu, minister of trade, industry and energy. Paik said that restructuring would start with troubled mid-sized shipyards — STX Offshore and Shipbuilding and Sungdong Shipbuilding and Marine Engineering — currently under the management of state-run lenders. He said that corporate and industrial restructuring will be led by the ministry. Financial Services Commission (FSC) chief Choi Jong-ku joined the bandwagon by agreeing to a bigger role for the ministry in restructuring the industrial sector.
Paik, a former professor specializing in renewable energy, was recruited to head the ministry largely to oversee the government’s agenda of weaning Korea off both fossil fuel and nuclear power. He does not have experience on the corporate industrial battlefield. Restructuring is often accompanied by bloodbaths. Two decades ago, former FSC chief Lee Hun-jai likened restructuring to a war zone awash in blood and body parts. In other words, good vision and a cold head and heart are needed in a commander. Resolve is demanded of the commander to eliminate weak businesses and save those that can be saved. The scholarly minister is hardly fit for such a ruthless and risky job.
The industry ministry also lacks specialists in corporate restructuring. In the FSC, there are 24 professionals who specialize in corporate restructuring. The ministry cannot afford a new division. Each desk and division in charge of individual industries would have to manage restructuring on top of their regular work. Yet the ministry vows to look beyond the numbers and consider restructuring’s impact on jobs and regional economies. It does not make sense to pluck the restructuring job from the FSC and assign it to an idealistic novice.
Economic policies have turned decisively pro-labor. While campaigning in March, candidate Moon Jae-in vowed to dockyard workers in Changwon, South Gyeongsang that they won’t be hurt by restructuring. We will see how successful the government will be when it zeroes in on its first targets — Sungdong and STX. I hope my fears about the government’s restructuring campaign turning into a crusade to save zombie companies proves to be wrong.
JoongAng Ilbo, Nov. 30, Page 34
*The author is a columnist of the JoongAng Ilbo.